Evidence · Fleet trials

All trial results

Twelve documented trials across road transport, buses, taxis, pharmaceutical logistics, stationary boilers and telecom generators, in Germany, Denmark, Japan and Nigeria. Results range from a small, inconclusive result to 28% better fuel efficiency — and the method behind each one explains most of that spread. Below them sit 8 operator records from our Japanese master dataset: real named fleets, 43 vehicles, but no trial protocol behind them — a weaker class of evidence that we keep separate rather than blend in.

Read the method column before the result column, and the measure column together with it. Trials with a control group or a year-on-year match are more reliable than trials measured against a historical baseline.
TrialWhereSampleMethodMeasureResult
Waste Services Germany · refuse trucks5 vehicles · 21,830 kmOwn baseline · blinded · routes verified · load fell 10.5%Consumption, l/100 km −18.2%
Municipality of Frederikshavn Denmark · municipal truck1 vehicle · 1,484 kmMode-corrected model, with ScaniaConsumption, l/100 km ≈5% (modelled)
Alfresa (AL Plus) Japan · pharma logistics2 vehicles · 4 measurementsYear-on-year, same calendar monthsEfficiency, km/L +8.4% … +20.0%
Sanden Kotsu Japan · service buses2 buses · 3 monthsAgainst untreated control groupEfficiency, km/L +7.8%
Toyama Transport Japan · logistics1 truck · 20,422 kmOwn baseline · 3 applicationsEfficiency, km/L +13.1%
Chuo Taxi Japan · taxi1 hybrid · 13,257 kmOwn baseline · 2 applicationsEfficiency, km/L +28.3%
Hot-spring hotel boilers Japan · heavy-oil boilers2 boilers · 6 monthsYear-on-year, same calendar monthsConsumption, litres/month −10.7% … −16.0%
IHS Towers Nigeria · tower generators11 sites · 5 monthsOwn baselineSaving vs own baseline +1.7% median — no clear effect established
Maruun Transport Japan · mixed haulage9 vehicles · 2022 → 2023Year-on-year, same calendar monthEfficiency, km/L +2.9% median · 3 of 9 negative
Toto Kanko Bus Japan · coaches4 coaches · 12 measurementsOwn baseline · 2 buses newEfficiency, km/L −3.4% … +44.0% · no common trend
Nakamoto Transport Japan · distribution3 trucks · 3 monthsOwn baseline · single applicationEfficiency, km/L +7.2% median
Nishitetsu Japan · route buses3 buses · Feb–Jun 202012-month rolling baseline — pandemic windowEfficiency, km/L +7.8% median — not claimed
Trial by trial

Each one with its own page

Germany · 5 refuse trucks · 2026

Waste Services

−18.2%

Drivers blinded and routes verified as unchanged — but the trucks also ran 10.5% lighter during the trial.

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Denmark · 1 Scania truck · 2026

Municipality of Frederikshavn

≈5%

Carried out with Scania. The raw figures are not comparable — the result comes from a drive-mode correction.

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Japan · 2 trucks · 2016 → 2017

Alfresa (AL Plus)

+8.4% … +20.0%

Year-on-year comparison of the same months. The same figures appear in three independent records.

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Japan · service buses · 2023

Sanden Kotsu

+7.8%

The only trial measured against untreated control vehicles running in the same period.

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Japan · Hino truck · 2017

Toyama Transport

+13.1%

Three applications over 66 days, with the measured effect rising each time — 7.7%, 9.7%, 19.0%.

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Japan · Toyota Prius · 2017

Chuo Taxi

+28.3%

One hybrid taxi over 106 days. A large result on a single vehicle — shown with its aggregate.

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Japan · 2 boilers · 2013 → 2014

Hot-spring hotel boilers

−10.7% … −16.0%

Six monthly measurements, each against the same month a year earlier. Evidence beyond vehicle engines.

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Nigeria · 11 generator sites · 2025

IHS Towers

+1.7% median · limited

Published in full because a small, inconclusive result tells you where the boundary is too.

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Japan · 9 vehicles · 2022 → 2023

Maruun Transport

+2.9% median

Three of nine vehicles consumed more after treatment. The widest spread in our Japanese records.

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Japan · 4 coaches · 2023

Toto Kanko Bus

−3.4% … +44.0%

Twelve measurements that do not agree with each other — and two buses that were new at the time.

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Japan · 3 Isuzu Elf · 2023

Nakamoto Transport

+7.2% median

The newest truck responded most — the opposite of how we usually explain the mechanism.

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Japan · 3 route buses · 2020

Nishitetsu

+7.8% — not claimed

The best baseline design on this site, ruined by the months it happened to run in.

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A weaker class of evidence — named operators, no protocol

Operator records from the master dataset

These 8 operators come from our Japanese master test dataset: 43 vehicles at named fleets, with before-and-after fuel figures we can recalculate but no trial report, no measurement period and no control group behind them. They are not trials, and we do not present them as trials. They are published because we hold them, and because an operator judging us is entitled to see the ordinary records as well as the twelve we chose to write up.

Operator records with at least three vehicles. Operators with one or two vehicles stay in the full measurement database rather than getting a page — two measurements do not support one. Every figure in this table is fuel efficiency in km/L, where a plus is the gain.
OperatorWhereSampleMethod as recordedResult
ALSOK (Kanagawa) Japan · security transport fleet14 vehiclesYear-on-year comparison + Before/after, no seasonal control +8.8% … +30.2%
Daiwa Logistics (Misato branch) Japan · regional freight, 4–6 t trucks6 vehiclesAgainst a reference figure +9.3%
Bridgestone Cockpit store Japan · tyre retail — customer vehicles5 vehiclesNot recorded +14.1%
N Kotsu Japan · lpg taxi fleet4 vehiclesAgainst a reference figure −6.6% … +10.1%
Sanwa Kotsu Japan · lpg taxi fleet4 vehiclesAgainst a reference figure +2.5% … +8.6%
Inabe Logistics Service Japan · tipper trucks and heavy haulage4 vehiclesBefore/after, no seasonal control +6.3%
Iwaida Taxi Japan · lpg taxi fleet3 vehiclesAgainst a reference figure +13.2%
Tamagoya Japan · delivery vans3 vehiclesNot recorded +19.1%
Japan · 14 vehicles · petrol and diesel

ALSOK (Kanagawa)

+8.8% … +30.2%

The largest operator group in our dataset — and the clearest illustration that the measurement method, not the vehicle, decides the size of the number.

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Japan · 6 trucks · diesel

Daiwa Logistics (Misato branch)

+9.3%

Six diesel trucks measured against a reference consumption figure. The tightest group in the dataset — every vehicle between +4.2% and +17.6%.

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Japan · 5 customer cars · petrol

Bridgestone Cockpit store

+14.1%

Five unrelated private cars treated at a tyre retail store. No fleet, no duty cycle, no recorded method — the weakest group we publish.

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Japan · 4 LPG taxis

N Kotsu

−6.6% … +10.1%

Contains the only negative measurement in the entire 386-record dataset — a taxi that used 6.6% more fuel after treatment.

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Japan · 4 LPG taxis · 2 excluded

Sanwa Kotsu

+2.5% … +8.6%

Holds the highest figure in the whole dataset, +75.7% — which we traced to an implausible baseline and do not use.

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Japan · 4 heavy diesels

Inabe Logistics Service

+6.3%

The narrowest result in the whole dataset: four heavy vehicles inside a 2.2-point band, and the lowest median of any operator here.

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Japan · 3 LPG taxis

Iwaida Taxi

+13.2%

Two conventional taxis and one hybrid. The hybrid returns the largest figure — as it does in every hybrid record we hold.

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Japan · 3 Toyota HiAce vans

Tamagoya

+19.1%

Three vans of the same model and near-identical age — and baselines that differ by a factor of two, which is the part worth reading.

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All 386 individual measurements, including the 300 we cannot verify

How to read these numbers

Why the spread is so wide

A range from “no effect” to “+28%” looks like noise until you sort the trials by how they were measured. What emerges is not that one method gives bigger numbers than another — it is that the trials measured against their own past scatter across the entire range, while the better-controlled ones land in a narrow band.

Result by measurement method Dot plot grouping ten of the twelve documented trials by how they were measured. The single trial with a parallel control group sits at 7.2 per cent. Trials compared against their own historical baseline spread from 1.7 to 22.1 per cent. Less fuel per distance or output (%) — all trials converted to one comparable measure 0% 6% 12% 18% 24% Control group running in parallel Sanden Kotsu — buses (n=2) 7.2% Same calendar months, one year apart Maruun — mixed haulage (n=9) 2.8% Alfresa — trucks (n=2) 11.6% Hot-spring hotel — boilers (n=2) 13.0% Own historical baseline IHS Towers — generators (n=11) 1.7% Nakamoto Transport — trucks (n=3) 6.7% Toyama Transport — truck (n=1) 11.6% Waste Services — refuse trucks (n=5) 18.2% Chuo Taxi — taxi (n=1) 22.1% Model-corrected analysis Frederikshavn — truck (n=1) 5.3%
One comparable axis: trials measured in km/L have been converted to fuel used per distance, so the figures here differ from the km/L percentages on the individual trial pages (Chuo Taxi +28.3% km/L is 22.1% less fuel per kilometre). Ranges are shown at their midpoint. Two of the twelve documented trials are not plotted: Toto Kanko Bus has no common trend to plot, and the Nishitetsu figures are shown on that trial’s own page but not claimed. The pattern to notice is not that one method gives higher numbers than another — it is that the trials measured against their own past scatter across the whole range, while the one trial with a parallel control group sits in the lower half.

Method decides the spread, not the level

Of the trials plotted here, those measured against their own history run from 1.7% to 22.1% — the whole range. The two compared with the same months a year earlier sit at 11.6% and 13.0%, and the one with a parallel control group at 7.2%. Better control narrows the spread; it does not simply shrink the number.

Sample size matters more than percentage

A 28% result on one taxi is weaker evidence than an 8% result across a controlled group. We show sample size in the same table as the result so the two are never separated.

Duty cycle decides

Refuse collection, urban taxi work and boiler operation responded. Telecom generators running continuously at near-zero load did not. The application matters more than the engine.

Effect appears to build

Where trials ran several applications, later measurements were consistently higher than early ones — which also means a single early measurement will understate the result.

The full measurement methodology →

Your fleet, your baseline

Run the trial that actually applies to you

None of these trials is a promise about your vehicles. A pilot on your own fleet, designed with a control group, is the only figure worth budgeting against.

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